Lewis Hamilton expects he will have to wait beyond Mexico, the next race on the calendar and one that could be a struggle for his Mercedes team, to secure his sixth Formula One world championship.
After finishing third in Sunday’s Japanese Grand Prix, with his lead over teammate and now sole rival Valtteri Bottas reduced to 64 points, the Briton is finally in a position to wrap up the title.
Hamilton assured reporters he was in no hurry, however, “For me, it’s never been a case of always wanting to rush things.
“I think Mexico is generally our worst race of the year because of the way our car is set up and it’s going to be a tough one for us. The last few have been pretty shocking, even though we’ve won the title there.
“I don’t anticipate it (the decider) will be Mexico. I think we will be battling for a good few races.”
Hamilton won his 2017 and 2018 titles at Mexico City’s Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez, which returned to the calendar in 2015 for the first time in 23 years.
There is no real doubt about who will be champion, just a case of when.
“Lewis will win it. Doesn’t matter which race. I don’t think it matters for him, does it? It wouldn’t matter to me,” said Ferrari’s four-times F1 world champion Sebastian Vettel, second on Sunday.
With four races remaining, there are 104 points to be won when the extra point available for fastest lap is taken into consideration. After Mexico, on 27 October it will be 78 and then, following Texas a weekend later, 52.
Hamilton needs to score 14 points more than Bottas in Mexico but he has done that only once this season — in Hungary when he won and the Finn was eighth.
Mercedes, who clinched the constructors’ title for the sixth year in a row on Sunday, have had eight one-two finishes in 17 races.
Hamilton and Bottas finished fourth and fifth in Mexico last year. In 2017, the champion was ninth while his team mate was second but in 2016 the Briton won in Mexico City.
The team’s worst race of 2019 so far was Germany, with Hamilton ninth and Bottas a non-finisher.
While Bottas celebrated his third victory of the season on Sunday, he is up against a man who has scored for 29 races in a row and been on the podium in all but three this year.
Red Bull’s Max Verstappen has won in Mexico for the past two years and Ferrari are also expected to be strong, so the maths would favour Texas as a more likely title-decider from the North American double-header. Hamilton clinched his 2015 title in Austin.
“I’m hoping for a better weekend but I think it’s going to be very hard to beat the Ferraris with those long straights,” the Briton said of Mexico.
“We have no hope of getting by on those straights, that’s for sure but even if you look at the others, the McLarens are picking up some serious speeds on the straights, so are the Red Bulls so I think it will be a tricky one.”
And then there were two
— Mercedes-AMG F1 (@MercedesAMGF1) October 17, 2019